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Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) prevalence model 3

Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) prevalence model 3

Background

The chronic kidney disease (CKD) prevalence model provides estimates of total CKD prevalence for adults aged 16 and over in England. The model estimates the expected prevalence of CKD stage 3-5, defined as moderate–severe CKD with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) < 60ml/min/1.73m2 . The modification of diet in renal disease (MDRD) equation was used to estimate GFR. The model was developed using data from the Health Survey for England (HSE) – 2009 and 2010 and the 2011 Census. The estimates have been adjusted for age, sex, ethnicity and household tenure. As with all modelled data there is a degree of uncertainty around the estimates, therefore 95% credible intervals (CI) have been calculated that give a plausible range in which the true value is likely to be contained. The model was developed at the University of Southampton. Full details of the model methodology can be found on the ‘National cardiovascular intelligence network’ (NCVIN) website. CKD stage 3-5 estimates have been produced at local authority (LA) lower level, LA upper level, clinical commissioning group (CCG), region and for the whole of England. The estimates are available to download at: www.ncvin.org.uk

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